中國鋼產量進入低增長期, 全年可能低於7億噸(2012-02-21)
在經過了2000年之後-連續10年的高速發展後，鋼鐵行業產能開始走入下坡路。蘭格鋼鐵網消息顯示，今年,粗鋼產量將告別黃金年代，進入低增長期，預計全年產量,很可能低於7億噸。
鋼產量走入下坡路
資料顯示，2000-2010年期間，國內粗鋼產量,從1億噸水平,發展到了6億噸水平，全球佔比,從15%,突增到45.5%。不過，這種粗鋼產量突飛猛進的局面,已經難以持續。蘭格鋼鐵網消息稱，鋼鐵行業權威人士預測，中國粗鋼產量已經結束高速增長期。
蘭格鋼鐵信息研究中心研究員葛昕表示，中國粗鋼產量增速正在放緩，《鋼鐵工業“十二五”發展規劃》（以下簡稱《規劃》）預測，2015年,國內粗鋼導向性消費量約為7.5億噸。按照國家統計局公佈的中國2011年,粗鋼產量6.8327億噸計算，2012-2015年,基本上,每年平均僅需要增加1500萬噸左右的粗鋼產量。
中國鋼鐵工業協會會長朱繼民,在此前召開的中鋼協,2012年理事(擴大)會議上表示，從國內外市場需求看，在鋼材進出口量折合成粗鋼保持淨出口的情況下，今年,中國國內粗鋼表觀消費量,為7億噸左右，增長4%左右。
7億噸產量,難達到
行業專家認為，今年粗鋼產量7億噸,是相當樂觀的預測,實際數據很可能難以達到7億噸。據分析，今年上半年,經濟形勢不會有太大改觀，“兩會”期間,很多新項目不會開工；國家不鼓勵鋼材出口，近期,可能會有減少出口退稅的政策出台；再加上鐵礦石價格居高不下，鋼材銷售價格和生產成本倒掛現象嚴重，這三大因素都會抑製鋼廠的生產。如果宏觀經濟政策不出現大的變化，粗鋼產量非常可能會低於7億噸。
其實，自從2011年9月份以來，國內鋼廠減產現象就較為明顯。受國際國內經濟環境變化影響，鋼鐵下游需求增速放緩，鋼鐵市場供大於求的矛盾日益凸顯，鋼材市場價格下跌現象嚴重。國內各大鋼廠不得不通過加大排產檢修力度來控制產量，減少鋼廠損失。
市場監測顯示，去年12月份，板帶材檢修鋼廠共9家，影響產量超過44.5萬噸，長型材檢修鋼廠共20家，影響產量超過35.3萬噸，其中,建材產量31.3萬噸。今年年初，不少鋼廠繼續檢修減產。
鋼企需向技術創新
要效益
隨著鋼材的需求量接近飽和，粗鋼產量的增速下降使得鋼廠過去那種依靠增加鋼材產量實現增長的發展方式已經行不通，那麼鋼廠如何尋找新的利潤增長點？
蘭格鋼鐵相關分析師認為，鋼廠要獲取更大的利潤，就要轉變發展方式，在技術創新、開拓新的市場方面下大力氣，其中新品種、新材料、新工藝的研發顯得尤為重要。
鋼廠要在經營模式、銷售模式、企業管理等方面進行調整。 “以提高勞動生產率為例，目前中國鋼廠每位員工每年平均產鋼500噸左右，而發達國家則在1000噸左右，中國鋼廠員工的產鋼率還有很大的提升空間。此外，鋼企還應轉變經營銷售模式，包括海外建廠、現貨電子交易、發展非鋼產業、向上下游拓展等。總之，在產能增速駛入慢車道後，如果鋼企還要走粗放經營的’老路’，無疑是進入了死胡同。”上述分析師稱。
來源：北京商報 記者：肖瑋
中国钢产量进入低增长期, 全年可能低于7亿吨 (2012-02-21)
在经过了2000年之后-连续10年的高速发展后，钢铁行业产能开始走入下坡路。兰格钢铁网消息显示，今年,粗钢产量将告别黄金年代，进入低增长期，预计全年产量,很可能低于7亿吨。
钢产量走入下坡路
资料显示，2000-2010年期间，国内粗钢产量,从1亿吨水平,发展到了6亿吨水平，全球占比,从15%,突增到45.5%。不过，这种粗钢产量突飞猛进的局面,已经难以持续。兰格钢铁网消息称，钢铁行业权威人士预测，中国粗钢产量已经结束高速增长期。
兰格钢铁信息研究中心研究员葛昕表示，中国粗钢产量增速正在放缓，《钢铁工业“十二五”发展规划》（以下简称《规划》）预测，2015年,国内粗钢导向性消费量约为7.5亿吨。按照国家统计局公布的中国2011年,粗钢产量6.8327亿吨计算，2012-2015年,基本上,每年平均仅需要增加1500万吨左右的粗钢产量。
中国钢铁工业协会会长朱继民,在此前召开的中钢协,2012年理事(扩大)会议上表示，从国内外市场需求看，在钢材进出口量折合成粗钢保持净出口的情况下，今年,中国国内粗钢表观消费量,为7亿吨左右，增长4%左右。
7亿吨产量,难达到
行业专家认为，今年粗钢产量7亿吨,是相当乐观的预测,实际数据很可能难以达到7亿吨。据分析，今年上半年,经济形势不会有太大改观，“两会”期间,很多新项目不会开工；国家不鼓励钢材出口，近期,可能会有减少出口退税的政策出台；再加上铁矿石价格居高不下，钢材销售价格和生产成本倒挂现象严重，这三大因素都会抑制钢厂的生产。如果宏观经济政策不出现大的变化，粗钢产量非常可能会低于7亿吨。
其实，自从2011年9月份以来，国内钢厂减产现象就较为明显。受国际国内经济环境变化影响，钢铁下游需求增速放缓，钢铁市场供大于求的矛盾日益凸显，钢材市场价格下跌现象严重。国内各大钢厂不得不通过加大排产检修力度来控制产量，减少钢厂损失。
市场监测显示，去年12月份，板带材检修钢厂共9家，影响产量超过44.5万吨，长型材检修钢厂共20家，影响产量超过35.3万吨，其中,建材产量31.3万吨。今年年初，不少钢厂继续检修减产。
钢企需向技术创新
要效益
随着钢材的需求量接近饱和，粗钢产量的增速下降使得钢厂过去那种依靠增加钢材产量实现增长的发展方式已经行不通，那么钢厂如何寻找新的利润增长点？
兰格钢铁相关分析师认为，钢厂要获取更大的利润，就要转变发展方式，在技术创新、开拓新的市场方面下大力气，其中新品种、新材料、新工艺的研发显得尤为重要。
钢厂要在经营模式、销售模式、企业管理等方面进行调整。“以提高劳动生产率为例，目前中国钢厂每位员工每年平均产钢500吨左右，而发达国家则在1000吨左右，中国钢厂员工的产钢率还有很大的提升空间。此外，钢企还应转变经营销售模式，包括海外建厂、现货电子交易、发展非钢产业、向上下游拓展等。总之，在产能增速驶入慢车道后，如果钢企还要走粗放经营的‘老路’，无疑是进入了死胡同。”上述分析师称。
来源：北京商报 记者：肖玮
China’s steel production to enter the low-growth period throughout the year may be lower than 700 million tons (2012-02-21)
After 2000 – after 10 consecutive years of rapid development of steel industry production capacity started to enter the downhill. Lange Steel network news shows, this year, crude steel production will bid farewell to the golden age, into the low growth period, the estimated annual production, is probably less than 700 million tons.
Steel production into the downhill
The data show that from 2000 to 2010, domestic crude steel production from 100 million tons, developed to a level of 600 million tons, the world accounting for the sudden increase from 15% to 45.5%. However, the situation of such a crude steel production by leaps and bounds, has been difficult to sustain. Lange Steel Network news that the steel industry pundits predicted that China’s crude steel production over a period of rapid growth.
Lange Steel Information Research Center, said Ge Xin, China’s crude steel production growth is slowing, iron and steel industry “12th Five-Year Development Plan” (hereinafter referred to as the “Plan”) forecast, 2015, domestic crude steel oriented consumer about 750 million tons. In accordance with the National Bureau of Statistics of China 2011, 6.8327 one hundred million tons of crude steel production calculation ,2012-2015, basically, an annual average of just need to increase about 15 million tons of crude steel production.
China Steel Industry Association president Zhu Jimin, previously held in the China Steel Association, 2012 Directors (enlarged) meeting the demand of domestic and foreign markets, converted into crude steel to maintain net exports in the steel import and export volume this year China’s domestic crude steel apparent consumption for about 700 million tons, an increase of about 4%.
700 million tons production, difficult to achieve
Industry experts believe that this year, 700 million tons of crude steel production, is quite optimistic forecast, the actual data it may be difficult to reach 700 million tons. According to analysis, in the first half of this year, the economic situation is not much improved, “two sessions”, a lot of new projects will not start; state does not encourage the export of steel, the near future, there may be to reduce the export tax rebate policies; plus iron ore prices remain high, steel sales prices and production costs inversion phenomenon is serious, these three factors will inhibit the production of steel. If the macroeconomic policy is not a big change, crude steel production may be lower than 700 million tons.
In fact, since September 2011, domestic steel production phenomenon is more obvious. Has become an increasingly prominent international and domestic economic environment change, the downstream steel demand slowdown, steel oversupply, the market price of steel fell serious. The major domestic steel mills had to increase the intensity of scheduling maintenance to control production, reduce steel loss.
Market monitoring shows that in December last year, the board strip to overhaul a total of nine steel mills, affecting the yield of more than 445 thousand tons, a total of 20 long profiles overhaul steel affect the production of over 353 thousand tons, of which 313,000 tons, building materials production. Earlier this year, many steel mills continue to repair the cut.
Steel enterprises need to technological innovation
To be effective
Nearly saturated with the demand of steel, crude steel production growth declines in steel mills in the past that rely on the development of ways to increase steel production growth is not feasible, then the steel mills how to find new profit growth point?
Lange Steel analysts believe that the steel mills want to obtain greater profits, it is necessary to change the way of development, technological innovation, make great efforts to develop new markets, new varieties, new materials, new technology research and development is particularly important .
The steel business model, sales model, business management and other aspects to be adjusted. “To improve labor productivity, for example, Chinese steel mills per employee per year average yield of about 500 tons of steel, while the developed countries in about 1000 tons, the steel production rate of the Chinese steel mill employees there is still much room for improvement. In addition, steel enterprises should also change their management sales model, including factories abroad, the spot electronic transactions, the development of non-steel industry, upstream and downstream to expand. In short, productivity growth into the slow lane, steel prices to go extensive operation ‘ The old road ‘, is undoubtedly entered a blind alley. “the analyst said.
Source: Beijing Daily Reporter: Xiao Wei
中國鋼產量進入低增長期, 全年可能低於7億噸(2012-02-21)
在經過了2000年之後-連續10年的高速發展後，鋼鐵行業產能開始走入下坡路。蘭格鋼鐵網消息顯示，今年,粗鋼產量將告別黃金年代，進入低增長期，預計全年產量,很可能低於7億噸。
鋼產量走入下坡路
資料顯示，2000-2010年期間，國內粗鋼產量,從1億噸水平,發展到了6億噸水平，全球佔比,從15%,突增到45.5%。不過，這種粗鋼產量突飛猛進的局面,已經難以持續。蘭格鋼鐵網消息稱，鋼鐵行業權威人士預測，中國粗鋼產量已經結束高速增長期。
蘭格鋼鐵信息研究中心研究員葛昕表示，中國粗鋼產量增速正在放緩，《鋼鐵工業“十二五”發展規劃》（以下簡稱《規劃》）預測，2015年,國內粗鋼導向性消費量約為7.5億噸。按照國家統計局公佈的中國2011年,粗鋼產量6.8327億噸計算，2012-2015年,基本上,每年平均僅需要增加1500萬噸左右的粗鋼產量。
中國鋼鐵工業協會會長朱繼民,在此前召開的中鋼協,2012年理事(擴大)會議上表示，從國內外市場需求看，在鋼材進出口量折合成粗鋼保持淨出口的情況下，今年,中國國內粗鋼表觀消費量,為7億噸左右，增長4%左右。
7億噸產量,難達到
行業專家認為，今年粗鋼產量7億噸,是相當樂觀的預測,實際數據很可能難以達到7億噸。據分析，今年上半年,經濟形勢不會有太大改觀，“兩會”期間,很多新項目不會開工；國家不鼓勵鋼材出口，近期,可能會有減少出口退稅的政策出台；再加上鐵礦石價格居高不下，鋼材銷售價格和生產成本倒掛現象嚴重，這三大因素都會抑製鋼廠的生產。如果宏觀經濟政策不出現大的變化，粗鋼產量非常可能會低於7億噸。
其實，自從2011年9月份以來，國內鋼廠減產現象就較為明顯。受國際國內經濟環境變化影響，鋼鐵下游需求增速放緩，鋼鐵市場供大於求的矛盾日益凸顯，鋼材市場價格下跌現象嚴重。國內各大鋼廠不得不通過加大排產檢修力度來控制產量，減少鋼廠損失。
市場監測顯示，去年12月份，板帶材檢修鋼廠共9家，影響產量超過44.5萬噸，長型材檢修鋼廠共20家，影響產量超過35.3萬噸，其中,建材產量31.3萬噸。今年年初，不少鋼廠繼續檢修減產。
鋼企需向技術創新
要效益
隨著鋼材的需求量接近飽和，粗鋼產量的增速下降使得鋼廠過去那種依靠增加鋼材產量實現增長的發展方式已經行不通，那麼鋼廠如何尋找新的利潤增長點？
蘭格鋼鐵相關分析師認為，鋼廠要獲取更大的利潤，就要轉變發展方式，在技術創新、開拓新的市場方面下大力氣，其中新品種、新材料、新工藝的研發顯得尤為重要。
鋼廠要在經營模式、銷售模式、企業管理等方面進行調整。 “以提高勞動生產率為例，目前中國鋼廠每位員工每年平均產鋼500噸左右，而發達國家則在1000噸左右，中國鋼廠員工的產鋼率還有很大的提升空間。此外，鋼企還應轉變經營銷售模式，包括海外建廠、現貨電子交易、發展非鋼產業、向上下游拓展等。總之，在產能增速駛入慢車道後，如果鋼企還要走粗放經營的’老路’，無疑是進入了死胡同。”上述分析師稱。
來源：北京商報 記者：肖瑋
中国钢产量进入低增长期, 全年可能低于7亿吨 (2012-02-21)
在经过了2000年之后-连续10年的高速发展后，钢铁行业产能开始走入下坡路。兰格钢铁网消息显示，今年,粗钢产量将告别黄金年代，进入低增长期，预计全年产量,很可能低于7亿吨。
钢产量走入下坡路
资料显示，2000-2010年期间，国内粗钢产量,从1亿吨水平,发展到了6亿吨水平，全球占比,从15%,突增到45.5%。不过，这种粗钢产量突飞猛进的局面,已经难以持续。兰格钢铁网消息称，钢铁行业权威人士预测，中国粗钢产量已经结束高速增长期。
兰格钢铁信息研究中心研究员葛昕表示，中国粗钢产量增速正在放缓，《钢铁工业“十二五”发展规划》（以下简称《规划》）预测，2015年,国内粗钢导向性消费量约为7.5亿吨。按照国家统计局公布的中国2011年,粗钢产量6.8327亿吨计算，2012-2015年,基本上,每年平均仅需要增加1500万吨左右的粗钢产量。
中国钢铁工业协会会长朱继民,在此前召开的中钢协,2012年理事(扩大)会议上表示，从国内外市场需求看，在钢材进出口量折合成粗钢保持净出口的情况下，今年,中国国内粗钢表观消费量,为7亿吨左右，增长4%左右。
7亿吨产量,难达到
行业专家认为，今年粗钢产量7亿吨,是相当乐观的预测,实际数据很可能难以达到7亿吨。据分析，今年上半年,经济形势不会有太大改观，“两会”期间,很多新项目不会开工；国家不鼓励钢材出口，近期,可能会有减少出口退税的政策出台；再加上铁矿石价格居高不下，钢材销售价格和生产成本倒挂现象严重，这三大因素都会抑制钢厂的生产。如果宏观经济政策不出现大的变化，粗钢产量非常可能会低于7亿吨。
其实，自从2011年9月份以来，国内钢厂减产现象就较为明显。受国际国内经济环境变化影响，钢铁下游需求增速放缓，钢铁市场供大于求的矛盾日益凸显，钢材市场价格下跌现象严重。国内各大钢厂不得不通过加大排产检修力度来控制产量，减少钢厂损失。
市场监测显示，去年12月份，板带材检修钢厂共9家，影响产量超过44.5万吨，长型材检修钢厂共20家，影响产量超过35.3万吨，其中,建材产量31.3万吨。今年年初，不少钢厂继续检修减产。
钢企需向技术创新
要效益
随着钢材的需求量接近饱和，粗钢产量的增速下降使得钢厂过去那种依靠增加钢材产量实现增长的发展方式已经行不通，那么钢厂如何寻找新的利润增长点？
兰格钢铁相关分析师认为，钢厂要获取更大的利润，就要转变发展方式，在技术创新、开拓新的市场方面下大力气，其中新品种、新材料、新工艺的研发显得尤为重要。
钢厂要在经营模式、销售模式、企业管理等方面进行调整。“以提高劳动生产率为例，目前中国钢厂每位员工每年平均产钢500吨左右，而发达国家则在1000吨左右，中国钢厂员工的产钢率还有很大的提升空间。此外，钢企还应转变经营销售模式，包括海外建厂、现货电子交易、发展非钢产业、向上下游拓展等。总之，在产能增速驶入慢车道后，如果钢企还要走粗放经营的‘老路’，无疑是进入了死胡同。”上述分析师称。
来源：北京商报 记者：肖玮
China’s steel production to enter the low-growth period throughout the year may be lower than 700 million tons (2012-02-21)
After 2000 – after 10 consecutive years of rapid development of steel industry production capacity started to enter the downhill. Lange Steel network news shows, this year, crude steel production will bid farewell to the golden age, into the low growth period, the estimated annual production, is probably less than 700 million tons.
Steel production into the downhill
The data show that from 2000 to 2010, domestic crude steel production from 100 million tons, developed to a level of 600 million tons, the world accounting for the sudden increase from 15% to 45.5%. However, the situation of such a crude steel production by leaps and bounds, has been difficult to sustain. Lange Steel Network news that the steel industry pundits predicted that China’s crude steel production over a period of rapid growth.
Lange Steel Information Research Center, said Ge Xin, China’s crude steel production growth is slowing, iron and steel industry “12th Five-Year Development Plan” (hereinafter referred to as the “Plan”) forecast, 2015, domestic crude steel oriented consumer about 750 million tons. In accordance with the National Bureau of Statistics of China 2011, 6.8327 one hundred million tons of crude steel production calculation ,2012-2015, basically, an annual average of just need to increase about 15 million tons of crude steel production.
China Steel Industry Association president Zhu Jimin, previously held in the China Steel Association, 2012 Directors (enlarged) meeting the demand of domestic and foreign markets, converted into crude steel to maintain net exports in the steel import and export volume this year China’s domestic crude steel apparent consumption for about 700 million tons, an increase of about 4%.
700 million tons production, difficult to achieve
Industry experts believe that this year, 700 million tons of crude steel production, is quite optimistic forecast, the actual data it may be difficult to reach 700 million tons. According to analysis, in the first half of this year, the economic situation is not much improved, “two sessions”, a lot of new projects will not start; state does not encourage the export of steel, the near future, there may be to reduce the export tax rebate policies; plus iron ore prices remain high, steel sales prices and production costs inversion phenomenon is serious, these three factors will inhibit the production of steel. If the macroeconomic policy is not a big change, crude steel production may be lower than 700 million tons.
In fact, since September 2011, domestic steel production phenomenon is more obvious. Has become an increasingly prominent international and domestic economic environment change, the downstream steel demand slowdown, steel oversupply, the market price of steel fell serious. The major domestic steel mills had to increase the intensity of scheduling maintenance to control production, reduce steel loss.
Market monitoring shows that in December last year, the board strip to overhaul a total of nine steel mills, affecting the yield of more than 445 thousand tons, a total of 20 long profiles overhaul steel affect the production of over 353 thousand tons, of which 313,000 tons, building materials production. Earlier this year, many steel mills continue to repair the cut.
Steel enterprises need to technological innovation
To be effective
Nearly saturated with the demand of steel, crude steel production growth declines in steel mills in the past that rely on the development of ways to increase steel production growth is not feasible, then the steel mills how to find new profit growth point?
Lange Steel analysts believe that the steel mills want to obtain greater profits, it is necessary to change the way of development, technological innovation, make great efforts to develop new markets, new varieties, new materials, new technology research and development is particularly important .
The steel business model, sales model, business management and other aspects to be adjusted. “To improve labor productivity, for example, Chinese steel mills per employee per year average yield of about 500 tons of steel, while the developed countries in about 1000 tons, the steel production rate of the Chinese steel mill employees there is still much room for improvement. In addition, steel enterprises should also change their management sales model, including factories abroad, the spot electronic transactions, the development of non-steel industry, upstream and downstream to expand. In short, productivity growth into the slow lane, steel prices to go extensive operation ‘ The old road ‘, is undoubtedly entered a blind alley. “the analyst said.
Source: Beijing Daily Reporter: Xiao Wei